G² Dispatches

The EU's 20th sanctions package targets Russian LNG trade, banning short-term spot purchases this year and long-term contracts by January 2027. However, the closure of the Strait of Hormuz has driven global LNG prices sharply higher, making EU sanctions increasingly costly for European consumers and businesses.

The U.S. Department of War terminated roughly $200 million in contracts with Anthropic and banned its technology across the federal government after the company refused to remove safety guardrails and grant unrestricted military use of its Claude AI model

The current moment functions as a stress test for the Cuban regime: it reveals both the limits of Havana’s external lifelines and the extent to which U.S. leverage in the hemisphere may be more consolidated than previously assumed.

Maduro’s removal seems to constitute a structural break, but not an imminent regime collapse. Power remains concentrated among regime-adjacent elites and the armed forces, making elite cohesion, rather than popular legitimacy, the primary determinant of short-term stability.

The operation in Venezuela is less about domestic regime change and more about whether the United States can still act unilaterally without triggering retaliation. The response—or lack thereof—will signal whether United States military primacy remains uncontested.

José Antonio Kast was elected president of Chile. His victory deepens ideological polarization across Latin America, reinforcing a left–right divide and challenging Brazil’s ambition to consolidate regional leadership amid shifting political alignments.

Javier Milei’s unexpected national victory reshapes Argentina’s political landscape, granting the Libertarians greater congressional power and signaling a regional rise of right-wing populism.

A Fresh Face Who Must Tackle Engrained Challenges Like Building Trust at Home and Abroad.