Closed Straits Strategy: From Gallipoli to Hormuz
1915 Gallipoli and 2026 Hormuz share the same structural sequence: naval campaign against a littoral power, closed strait, ground deployment. What could be some lessons from the 1915 operation and what are the forecast for the 2026 one.
U.S. Engagement in Latin America: a Global Repositioning or a Transactional Approach
Recent U.S. tariff actions in Latin America function primarily as short-cycle bargaining tools rather than components of a unified hemispheric trade framework. Increased U.S. activity in Latin America aligns with a transactional foreign-policy operating model rather than a reallocation of strategic focus away from other regions.
Country Risk Analysis: Lebanon after the 2024 Ceasefire
A historic moment for Lebanon: from collapse to recovery, if it seizes the chance. This analysis traces the road to collapse and outlines the narrow path to sovereignty, stability, and reform."