Iran’s Regime: Survival and the Transformation of Its Mechanisms
The war has weakened five of the six mechanisms that sustained Iran’s regime. It will likely survive the next six to nine months, increasingly dependent on the Revolutionary Guards.
Closed Straits Strategy: From Gallipoli to Hormuz
1915 Gallipoli and 2026 Hormuz share the same structural sequence: naval campaign against a littoral power, closed strait, ground deployment. What could be some lessons from the 1915 operation and what are the forecast for the 2026 one.